Hurricane Irene Destroys Bahamas, Could Be Storm of The Century Posing ‘Serious Threat’ To NJ, NYC

Latest-Hurricane-Forecast-Has-Irene-Taking-Path-Of-Worst-Case-Scenario--290x220
Hurricane Irene has caused severe destruction in Bahamas and could become a category 4 later today posing a ‘serious threat’ to NJ and NYC as evacuations begin in NC.

Weather forecasters are doing there best to try to get out the word the Hurricane Irene is currently on path that could make it the “storm of the century” after it destroyed the Bahama Islands. The storm has the potential to cause 100′s of billions of dollars of damage as it travels up the East Coast.

Latest-Hurricane-Forecast-Has-Irene-Taking-Path-Of-Worst-Case-Scenario-

The 3 possible scenarios that could play out are listed below, but this video shows the worst case scenario that could play out if the storm continues on its current track and hugs the NJ coastline and barrels into the NYC and Long Island area

The last damaging hurricane to hit Long Island was in 1938, the “Long Island Express”, which did major damage to Long Island and New England. Experts say the L.I. and N.Y.C. areas are due for another big one in the near future. Here’s their take on what would happen if a category 3 or higher storm hit the Island/NYC head on..

Hurricane-Irene-Becomes-Major-Hurricane

As noted before, Bahama Island settlements have been devastated with the islands suffering severe damages as 7 to 11 feet storm surges hammer the island paradise.

Bahamas official says 2 small southern island sustained heavy damage in Hurricane Irene

NASSAU, Bahamas – The head of the National Emergency Management Agency in the Bahamas says he is getting what he calls disturbing initial reports of damages from Hurricane Irene in two southern islands.

Capt. Stephen Russell tells The Associated Press that at least two settlements have been devastated on Acklins and Crooked islands. Russells says an official there reports that 90 percent of the homes in the settlements have been severely damaged or destroyed. Several hundred people live on each island. No injuries have been reported.

The two islands were among the first to be hit Wednesday as the hurricane made its way up the island chain.

THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. Check back soon for further information. AP’s earlier story is below.

Read The Rest…

All models consistently predict the hurricane hitting the eastern shores of North Carolina. NOAA has warned that mandatory evacuations could be issued for the Carolina’s later today. Over 150,000 North Carolina tourists were urged to evacuate yesterday as mandatory evacuations were issued in certain areas.

Hurricane Irene could become Category 4 by Thursday
150,000 tourists in North Carolina urged to leave as the hurricane nears

HATTERAS, N.C. — Forecasters say Hurricane Irene that is taking aim at the East Coast could become a Category 4 monster by Thursday.

The National Hurricane Center late Wednesday said Irene approached the northwestern Bahamas as a Category 3 storm with winds at 120 mph.

The head of the National Emergency Management Agency in the Bahamas said he was getting what he called disturbing initial reports of damages from Irene in two southern islands Wednesday night.

Capt. Stephen Russell tells The Associated Press that at least two settlements have been devastated on Acklins and Crooked islands. Russells says an official there reports that 90 percent of the homes in the settlements have been severely damaged or destroyed. Several hundred people live on each island. No injuries have been reported.

The two islands were among the first to be hit Wednesday as the hurricane made its way up the island chain. Tourists fled the storm and major cruise lines canceled Bahamas stops.

Forecasters say the storm could strengthen quickly over the next day.

Evacuations urged
Hurricane and tropical storm watches will likely be required for parts of the coast of the Carolinas by early Thursday.

Winds in Category 4 storms are more than 131 mph.

Earlier Wednesday, officials in one North Carolina county urged tourists there to evacuate starting Thursday. Forecasters warn Irene could clip North Carolina’s coast on Saturday and then threaten the densely populated Northeast, including New York, starting on Sunday.

Dare County said evacuations would begin Thursday at 8 a.m. Officials will meet again Thursday to determine if residents need to evacuate.

Read The Rest…

As far as the ultimate course of the storm its absolute path is uncertain.

Market watch reported earlier on the three different scenarios that the East Coast is facing from the storm.

Hurricane scenarios run from bad to worse
Irene, now Category 3, takes aim at New York area

[…]

A major hurricane hitting the East Coast with sustained winds of 100 miles per hour and more has long been considered an economic worst-case scenario. The Weather Channel has an overview of the meteorological impacts we can expect from Irene if current forecasts hold.

A five-year-old study by Munich Re estimated at least $100 billion in insured losses from an East Coast hurricane taking a ride up I-95. And that doesn’t begin to include follow-on effects from lost productivity, loss of life, or the nightmarish logistics of a partial evacuation of one of the most populated places on the planet.

According to the latest computer forecast models, here are the three most likely outcomes:

1) Irene takes an interior track, passing near Raleigh, N.C., Richmond, Va., Washington, D.C., Baltimore, Md., Philadelphia and New York City. This is by far the worst scenario. Winds of up to 100 mph would scream past the Capitol in Washington, D.C. The streets of Philadelphia could be flooded with two feet of rain. Storm surge could raise the level of New York Harbor by 10 to 15 feet, inundating whole neighborhoods, filling the subways with saltwater, and knocking out power and communications to Wall Street. Take a look at what that nightmare scenario might mean for New York City

Thankfully, the latest models are showing a decreasing likelihood that this scenario will happen, although it’s still possible. Because hurricanes spin counter-clockwise, the right-front section of the storm always has the strongest winds and worst weather. A storm like that could shake our economy severely, with many of the major cities taking direct hits and remaining on the right (wrong) side of the storm.

2) Irene skirts the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a monster storm and makes final landfall somewhere from New Jersey to New England. Consensus seems to be gaining that this is the most likely scenario. Since hurricanes need warm water to do their thing, Irene will weaken as it moves northward. However, because Irene will spend more time over the bathtub-like warm water of the Gulf Stream in this scenario, it will likely retain Category 1 or 2 strength when landing in the Northeast.

Right now, the most likely landfall location looks to be somewhere on Long Island, harkening old-timers’ thoughts to 1938, when a major hurricane forever changed the geography of the south shore of the island and decimated the Hamptons. While severe, most of Irene’s effects in this scenario would be localized.

Note to energy traders or those whose businesses depend on energy supply: Just because Irene isn’t traversing the oil-rich Gulf of Mexico doesn’t mean it won’t affect energy prices. Should Irene knock out power to millions of people in Virginia, or Long Island, (or everywhere in between), “demand destruction” would occur, and energy prices could plummet as producers are stuck with excess supply bound for the East Coast.

3) Irene continues the shift eastward and misses the coast entirely, as happened with Hurricane Earl last year. We’ll get quite a scare, but all for naught. This scenario is fairly unlikely at the moment and here’s why:

The difference between this year and last year all centers on a westward shift of the persistent steering pattern known as the Bermuda high. That high pressure system is stronger this year, and therefore more likely to push storms westward toward land.

Last September, Hurricane Earl menaced Long Island with the threat of 110 mph winds, but veered away at the last minute. It’s still possible that Irene could do the same.

Regardless of Irene’s exact path, many coastal areas from North Carolina to New England are expected to receive 10 to 15 inches of rain over the coming days.

[…]

Source: Market Watch

The Asbury Park press reports seriousness of the threat to the NJ and New York city area.

Irene is ‘serious’ threat to New Jersey

Hurricane Irene poses a serious danger to New Jersey, threatening to deluge an already soggy state and damage the coast this weekend, the state climatologist said.

David A. Robinson said “this is about as serious a situation as I’ve seen” in his nearly 20 years as New Jersey state climatologist. “But in all the (previous) cases, something has gone right for New Jersey, and we haven’t gotten the multiple shots,” he said.

Irene’s track late Wednesday afternoon was very similar to the path of the 1944 hurricane, “the worst storm of the 20th Century in terms of what it did damage-wise,” Robinson said. “That’s not a good sign.”

The unnamed offshore hurricane led to the ocean washing over parts of Long Beach Island and severely damaged Asbury Park and Atlantic City.

“We’ve got a problem on our hands,” Robinson said.

Officials in New Jersey, including Monmouth and Ocean counties, took steps Wednesday to get ready for the storm and urged residents and visitors to prepare for it. Irene was expected to be east of the Point Pleasant Beach area by 2 p.m. Sunday, according to Robinson and a National Hurricane Center forecast map.

Robinson said a Category 2 storm that comes within 50 miles of the New Jersey coast would bring strong winds, coastal flooding and additional rainfall. A Category 2 storm has maximum sustained winds of 96 to 110 mph, according to the hurricane center.

If Irene comes within 50 miles of the shore, “you could have the eyewall on the Jersey coast,” Robinson said.

“The closer it gets to Jersey, the stronger the winds,” and since the ground is wet and soft, that would lead to uprooted trees, he said. “So that’s a bad scenario.”

Monmouth County Sheriff Shaun Golden said “we’re not preaching panic here, we’re preaching preparation.”

Everyone should get a family plan together. That includes stocking up on food and other items, fueling vehicles, charging cell phones and providing shelter or at least food for pets, Golden said.

Officials are concerned about the Manasquan River area that flooded Sunday and Monday and “we want those people to be alert,” he said.

Categories: GENERAL INTEREST

Write a Comment

Your e-mail address will not be published.
Required fields are marked*